First Warn Forecast: Sunday declared First Warn Weather Day with strong to severe storm potential
KANSAS CITY, Mo. (KCTV) - Showers are finally spreading north into Saturday night. As we see an uptick in moisture from the Gulf, radar will continue to fill in. We are expecting to have steady rain pick up into early Sunday morning. You might hear a few rumbles, but there is not a threat for severe thunderstorms until later in the day.
The risk for severe thunderstorms is still present in the forecast, especially east of Kansas City where the level 3/5 enhanced risk has been issued from the Storm Prediction Center. At the moment, Saline, Pettis, Henry, Johnson MO are included. The slight risk level 2/5 is in place for the eastern metro. With the latest computer guidance coming in, the window for severe thunderstorms is relatively short from 2-6 PM. However, a few cells could really pack a punch. All storm hazards are possible, including a few tornadoes. There are a few scenarios to watch for. If we can get a small lull in the rain midday, that gives a better chance for afternoon storms. If we stay locked into rain through the early afternoon, that could hurt the severe thunderstorm potential. Regardless, the better ingredients for strong thunderstorms is highest to the east of Kansas City into central Missouri. There could still be a few lingering showers through dinner on Sunday before clearing out Sunday night.
Until we get to Easter Sunday, your Saturday evening will see rain chances increase the later you go. Our southern counties continue to see rain out there right now, but KC has mainly been spared today. We will see a spotty shower chance later Saturday evening, but widespread rain looks to take over after midnight. I’d have the umbrellas in the car just in case you need them for Saturday evening dinner plans.
Monday clears out and sunshine is expected. Temperatures look nice in the lower 70s. The entire forecast for the next week is filled with some warmer 70s.
I did add two new First Warns on Wednesday and Thursday of the week as confidence is growing to have more rain and thunderstorms off and on through that two day stretch. Unclear at the moment if there will be much of a severe thunderstorm threat.
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